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Widener Commonwealth Law Review

Abstract

In American politics, few things are more predictable than the reelection of a member of the U.S. House of Representatives. Congress’ perennial unpopularity notwithstanding, the House reelection rate has been as high as 98 percent in recent cycles, and very rarely dips below 90 percent. Incumbent advantage extends to the states as well: in 2020, 95 percent of state legislators nationwide won reelection. Political scientists often attribute this phenomenon to name recognition, consolidation of party support, fundraising superiority, or some combination thereof. Legal observers, though, might search elsewhere for an additional factor.

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